Articles by Amy Fried

 
POLLWAYS

Whatever Sanders says, there can’t be a contested Democratic National Convention

on May 02, 2016, at 8:44 a.m.
Political pundits and junkies alike thrill to the prospect of contested conventions, with multiple votes needed to pick a nominee. And, while Senator Bernie Sanders says this is going to happen at the Democratic National Convention, there’s no way it can. Sanders hangs his claim on defining “contested convention” in …

Whatever Sanders says, there can’t be a contested Democratic National Convention.

By Amy Fried on May 02, 2016, at 8:44 a.m.
Political pundits and junkies alike thrill to the prospect of contested conventions, with multiple votes needed to pick a nominee. And, while Senator Bernie Sanders says this is going to happen at the Democratic National Convention, there’s no way it can. Sanders hangs his claim on defining “contested convention” in …
BANGOR DAILY NEWS

Whatever Sanders says, there can’t be a contested Democratic National Convention.

on May 02, 2016, at 8:44 a.m.
Political pundits and junkies alike thrill to the prospect of contested conventions, with multiple votes needed to pick a nominee. And, while Senator Bernie Sanders says this is going to happen at the Democratic National Convention, there’s no way it can. Sanders hangs his claim on defining “contested convention” in …
POLLWAYS

Why Maine Democrats can’t change who superdelegates choose

on April 27, 2016, at 11:32 a.m.
Democrats are again discussing the rules for choosing delegates to their national party convention. It used to be that primaries and caucuses didn’t choose many delegates but that changed for the 1972 nomination. Starting then, the vast majority of delegates came from the decisions of caucus goers and primary voters. …
POLLWAYS

How Hillary and Bernie’s New York adventure defines the Democratic race

on April 19, 2016, at 9:28 a.m.
As the New York race makes clear, neither Hillary Clinton nor Bernie Sanders has the Obama coalition of young voters and black and Latino voters.
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Why Hillary Clinton is favored in the New York primary

on April 12, 2016, at 1:15 p.m.
Next week there arrives a clarifying moment for the Democratic nomination fight. All current polling shows Clinton over 50%, with an average 14 point lead over Sanders. The first fact is more important, since it’s harder to move voters already with a candidate. Sanders continues to do poorly with some …
POLLWAYS

After the Wisconsin primary, what about voter id and contested conventions?

on April 06, 2016, at 9:08 a.m.
The Wisconsin primary is now in the books, with Sen. Ted Cruz and Sen. Bernie Sanders winning with similar margins of 12-13 percentage points. Voter id in Wisconsin As I’ve discussed, the Wisconsin primary featured an onerous voter id law that analysts believed would most affect elderly and disabled people, …
POLLWAYS

The war on voting is real. It’s happening now.

on April 05, 2016, at 8:30 a.m.
Voter restrictions around the country, passed by Republicans though voting fraud was virtually nonexistent, will definitely benefit Republicans in the general election.
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Donald Trump’s authoritarianism, violence and blackmail

on March 22, 2016, at 9:51 a.m.
Trump’s people have stooped to blackmail, and this suggests how a President Trump would behave toward his political opponents.
POLLWAYS

Four reasons why it’s so unlikely Sanders will win the Democratic nomination

on March 17, 2016, at 11:30 a.m.
Behind by more than 300 pledged delegates* since the March 15 primaries, the Sanders campaign has been promoting the idea that Democrats have just finished the “first half” of the nomination fight and the next half is much, much better for them. This, they contend, gives them a credible path …
POLLWAYS

You probably never heard of this Democratic delegate selection rule but it matters

on March 15, 2016, at 1:37 p.m.
If you’re following the presidential nomination contests, you very well might know these things about the delegate selection process: Only Democrats have superdelegates. Republicans do not. Democrats’ superdelegates have never decided who is the nominee. Since their creation, the nominee has been the person who won the most pledged delegates …
POLLWAYS

Is it time to ditch Maine’s presidential caucuses?

on March 08, 2016, at 6:06 a.m.
Pollways: Last weekend Maine saw yuuuge turnout in the Republican and Democratic presidential caucuses — a yuuuge turnout for caucuses, that is.
POLLWAYS

Who do pundits think will win the Maine caucuses?

on March 05, 2016, at 6:30 a.m.
Pollways: Before anyone shows up to caucus this weekend in Maine, pundits will have made their predictions.
POLLWAYS

Who do pundits think will win the Maine caucuses?

on March 05, 2016, at 6:30 a.m.
Before anyone shows up to caucus this weekend in Maine, pundits will have made their predictions. There hasn’t been any recent public polling, so they’re using all sorts of evidence and their judgment. As always, it’s up to the people who show up who determine what really happens. But what …
POLLWAYS

The end of the presidential nomination fights is closer than you think

on Feb. 23, 2016, at 10:34 a.m.
Sometimes it seems these contests go on forever. Yet this year’s fights may effectively be over soon.
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Why do Democrats have superdelegates? Short, medium, long explanations

on Feb. 11, 2016, at 11 a.m.
Amy Fried: So many have questions about how this aspect of the process came to be. Here you can find out why, in a short version, medium version or long version.
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Why do Democrats have superdelegates? Short, medium and long explanations

on Feb. 11, 2016, at 11 a.m.
As presidential primaries and caucuses have started up, people are again paying attention to the Democratic Party’s use of superdelegates, individuals not picked through a primary or caucus who will attend the national convention and vote for a nominee. Contrary to a number of press reports, those individuals haven’t been …
POLLWAYS

‘The past isn’t dead. It isn’t even past.’ Welcome to the 2016 election.

on Feb. 09, 2016, at 11:24 a.m.
No two times or elections are identical. But American pasts loom large as the 2016 presidential election takes shape. On the Democratic side, the contrast between Progressives and Populists is on full display. The Republican side is combining the flavor of Dixiecrats and George Wallace with opposition to the policies …
POLLWAYS

The media narrative that Clinton garners less enthusiasm is wrong

on Jan. 31, 2016, at 12:33 p.m.
Since Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders emerged as a candidate who could generate big crowds, the media narrative has been that his supporters are more enthusiastic than Hillary Clinton’s. Reading the recent polls suggests that’s not true. You can see this in three different sorts of polls: ones that ask about …
POLLWAYS

How a British philosopher explained Clinton vs. Sanders in 1953

on Jan. 26, 2016, at 6:16 a.m.
Pollways: Forget the polls and pundits for awhile. If you’re following the Democratic nomination, you’re better off getting insight from a 20th-century British philosopher, Isaiah Berlin.