WASHINGTON — The U.S. government stumbled headlong on Friday toward wide-ranging spending cuts that threaten to hinder the economic recovery after President Barack Obama and congressional leaders failed to find an alternative budget plan.
Put in place during a bout of deficit-reduction fever in 2011, the automatic cuts only can be halted by agreement between Congress and the White House.
A deal proved elusive in talks at the White House on Friday as expected, meaning that government agencies now will begin to hack a total of $85 billion from their budgets between Saturday and Oct. 1. Financial markets in New York shrugged off the stalemate in Washington.
Democrats predict the cuts, known as “sequestration,” soon could cause air traffic delays, furloughs for hundreds of thousands of federal employees and disruption to education.
While the International Monetary Fund warned that the belt tightening could slow U.S. economic growth by at least 0.5 of a percentage point this year, that is not a huge drag on an economy that is picking up steam.
Obama was resigned to government budgets shrinking.
“Even with these cuts in place, folks all across this country will work hard to make sure that we keep the recovery going, but Washington sure isn’t making it easy,” he said after meeting Republican and Democratic congressional leaders.
At the heart of Washington’s persistent fiscal crises is disagreement over how to slash the budget deficit and the $16 trillion national debt, bloated over the years by wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and government stimulus for the ailing economy.
Obama wants to close the fiscal gap with spending cuts and tax hikes, but Republicans don’t want to concede again on taxes after doing so in negotiations over the “fiscal cliff” at the New Year.
“The discussion about revenue, in my view, is over. It’s about taking on the spending problem,” House Speaker John Boehner said on leaving the meeting.
The full brunt of the automatic cuts will be borne over seven months. Congress can stop them at any time if the two parties agree on how to do so.
No matter how Obama and Congress resolve the 2013 battle, this round of automatic spending cuts is only one of a decade’s worth of annual cuts totaling $1.2 trillion mandated by the sequestration law.
Given the absence of a deal, Obama is required to issue an order to federal agencies by midnight to reduce their budgets. The White House budget office must send a report to Congress detailing the spending cuts.
The Justice Department already has sent furlough notices that will begin April 21 at the earliest to some 115,000 workers, including at the Federal Bureau of Investigation.
Unlike previous fiscal dramas, the sequestration fight is not rattling Wall Street.
U.S. stocks rose moderately on Friday, with the Dow Industrials closing up 35 points, as data showed manufacturing expanded at its fastest pace in 20 months in February. Despite being up more than 7 percent this year, and near a record high, the discord in Washington has not prompted traders to cash in gains.
“Most of us believe that sequestration is not something that will make us fall off the cliff, since the cuts will be worked in relatively slowly,” said Bill Stone, chief investment strategist at PNC Wealth Management in Philadelphia.
Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty expressed rare public frustration with the United States for lurching from crisis to crisis.
Flaherty said he was confident Canada would not suffer too badly from the fiscal troubles its biggest trading partner is suffering from.
“It is regrettable, though, that the U.S. continues to move from crisis to crisis in fiscal terms,” Flaherty told reporters.
Another influential Canadian government minister took a swipe at the United States, saying it was up to its ears in debt because of big-spending, left-wing policies.
One reason for the inaction in Washington is that both parties still hope the other will either be blamed by voters for the cuts or cave in before the worst effects predicted by Democrats come into effect.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday showed 28 percent of Americans blame congressional Republicans for the sequestration mess, 18 percent think Obama is responsible and 4 percent blame congressional Democrats. Thirty-seven percent blame them all, according the online poll.
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office predicts 750,000 jobs could be lost in 2013, and federal employees throughout the country are looking to trim their own costs.
“The kids won’t go to the dentist, the kids might not go to the doctor, we won’t be spending money in local restaurants, local movie theaters,” said Paul O’Connor, president of the Metal Trades Council, which represents some 2,500 workers at the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard in Kittery, Maine.
After weeks of White House warnings about the cuts causing air traffic chaos, threatening cancer research and keeping law enforcement officers off the streets, Obama acknowledged that it might be a while before effects fully kick in.
“We will get through this. This is not going to be an apocalypse,” he told journalists in the White House.
“Not everyone will feel the pain of these cuts right away. The pain though will be real. Beginning this week, many middle-class families will have their lives disrupted in significant ways,” Obama said.
In the absence of any deal at all, the Pentagon will be forced to slice 13 percent of its budget between now and Sept. 30. Most nondefense programs, from NASA space exploration to federally backed education and law enforcement, face a 9 percent reduction.
The Transportation Security Administration said if sequestration goes into effect, it will put in place a hiring freeze of up to 1,000 additional vacancies for TSA officers by Memorial Day weekend, or in late May, and up to 2,600 vacancies by the end of the fiscal year.
Busy travel period wait times over 30 to 40 minutes could double at nearly all the largest airports, it said.
Moving to head off a new budget crisis later this month, Boehner said the Republican-led House would move a “continuing resolution” to fund government through the rest of the fiscal year, thus hopefully averting a government shutdown.